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About this item
Highlights
- A "fascinating, witty, and perspective-shifting" (Oliver Burkeman, New York Times bestselling author) tour of Bayes's theorem and its global impact on modern life from the acclaimed science writer and author of The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy.
- About the Author: Tom Chivers is an author and the award-winning science writer for Semafor.
- 384 Pages
- Mathematics, Game Theory
Description
Book Synopsis
A "fascinating, witty, and perspective-shifting" (Oliver Burkeman, New York Times bestselling author) tour of Bayes's theorem and its global impact on modern life from the acclaimed science writer and author of The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy. At its simplest, Bayes's theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in Everything Is Predictable, Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. A cornerstone of rational thought, many argue that Bayes's theorem is a description of almost everything. But who was the man who lent his name to this theorem? How did an 18th-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician uncover a theorem that would affect fields as diverse as medicine, law, and artificial intelligence? "Witty, lively, and best of all, extremely nerdy" (Tim Harford, author of The Undercover Economist), Everything Is Predictable is an entertaining and accessible illustration of how a single compelling idea can have far reaching consequences.About the Author
Tom Chivers is an author and the award-winning science writer for Semafor. His writing has appeared in The Times (London), The Guardian, New Scientist, Wired, CNN, and more. His books include Everything Is Predictable, The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy, and How to Read Numbers.Dimensions (Overall): 8.38 Inches (H) x 5.5 Inches (W) x .96 Inches (D)
Weight: .68 Pounds
Suggested Age: 22 Years and Up
Number of Pages: 384
Genre: Mathematics
Sub-Genre: Game Theory
Publisher: Atria/One Signal Publishers
Format: Paperback
Author: Tom Chivers
Language: English
Street Date: July 8, 2025
TCIN: 94053949
UPC: 9781668052631
Item Number (DPCI): 247-38-3846
Origin: Made in the USA or Imported
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Shipping details
Estimated ship dimensions: 0.96 inches length x 5.5 inches width x 8.38 inches height
Estimated ship weight: 0.68 pounds
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